It is with great regret that we are officially calling an early end to the CubeSail mission, notably before we were ever able to deploy the solar sail. Satellite beacons at the correct frequency were observed post-launch once on 18 Dec. 2018, but not with sufficient signal to noise ratio to demodulate the call sign in the beacons. No further communications were received from CubeSail. After more than 2 years of continued efforts to establish full communication with CubeSail, we sadly believe that the satellites have irrevocably failed without the possibility of resurrection. While it is uncertain the specific cause, our best assessment is that the radios failed in orbit.
The mission was originally scheduled to have completed by now, but low solar activity leading to lower than predicted atmospheric density and drag have extended the orbital lifetime. Based upon the state vector initially provided by Rocket Lab after deployment, our best assessment is that CubeSail is Space-Track Object #43853 (“Object E”) which began with an average orbital altitude of 505 km and has only decayed to an average altitude of 485 km as of 5 April 2021. As originally planned, CubeSail would begin sail deployment when it reached an altitude of 350 km. At its present rate of decay with a much lower than anticipated atmospheric density, this altitude is not likely to occur until December of 2023, or 5 years after launch. The bus electronics were only designed for a 2-3 year lifetime, so the 5-year decay is well beyond CubeSail’s original design.